Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 8.045294 8.910088 9.852609 10.960149 12.231071 13.649886 15.362028
2025-12-14 6.551572 7.627646 8.878504 10.453089 12.400818 14.755666 17.855980
2025-12-21 5.760844 6.934983 8.360689 10.243176 12.699686 15.848351 20.276303
2025-12-28 5.663217 7.034700 8.770330 11.170362 14.472113 18.961840 25.724090
2026-01-04 5.326855 6.778261 8.674832 11.394671 15.298634 20.871260 29.764316
2026-01-11 4.877985 6.323769 8.260681 11.119315 15.364402 21.668504 32.225626
2026-01-18 4.674267 6.177234 8.243539 11.386603 16.226285 23.728119 36.978958
2026-01-25 4.359337 5.847912 7.936335 11.189923 16.347586 24.626490 39.912660
2026-02-01 4.097439 5.572799 7.681835 11.041699 16.516024 25.601829 43.117962
2026-02-08 3.855876 5.309363 7.422468 10.857732 16.597610 26.424586 46.158584
2026-02-15 3.627344 5.049832 7.149266 10.625171 16.567424 27.035645 48.874634
2026-02-22 3.462997 4.875576 6.992945 10.565486 16.820924 28.178991 52.866297
2026-03-01 3.227363 4.586251 6.649479 10.186092 16.504760 28.276729 54.787405
2026-03-08 2.992120 4.285716 6.271466 9.721749 15.994641 27.946929 55.721960
2026-03-15 2.835732 4.099062 6.063194 9.530398 15.964759 28.556408 58.944759
2026-03-22 2.901257 4.264211 6.433120 10.375349 17.976909 33.624506 74.258276
2026-03-29 2.836780 4.216137 6.445743 10.579493 18.763018 36.214883 83.977663
2026-04-05 2.694757 4.034073 6.221086 10.328876 18.603640 36.671837 87.918930
2026-04-12 2.648605 4.007301 6.259510 10.572153 19.488808 39.668052 100.144503
2026-04-19 2.535107 3.862323 6.084133 10.393156 19.458322 40.474781 105.889648
2026-04-26 2.436222 3.737404 5.937137 10.258206 19.509348 41.490767 112.640590
2026-05-03 2.338574 3.610231 5.779403 10.090650 19.471166 42.276195 118.875376
2026-05-10 2.240202 3.477683 5.605421 9.878732 19.312529 42.727162 124.091243